Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 181.242450 198.209737 215.522168 234.477919 254.618648 275.349663 298.270714
2025-02-09 154.936038 180.396830 207.522293 238.445368 272.592394 309.021661 350.696176
2025-02-16 134.778714 166.348991 201.339860 242.685933 289.889146 341.789416 402.851204
2025-02-23 111.849809 146.407568 186.241867 234.968614 292.369353 357.257064 435.552148
2025-03-02 95.334788 131.949861 175.730865 230.998955 297.945017 375.472941 471.062366
2025-03-09 83.840275 122.221883 169.682525 231.308207 307.800049 398.242565 511.814104
2025-03-16 75.140335 115.012247 165.873733 233.624131 319.564759 423.045226 555.059036
2025-03-23 70.113035 112.019207 166.939413 241.705389 338.287103 456.342653 608.908193
2025-03-30 64.537316 107.660396 165.714879 246.446308 352.578239 484.177151 656.326744
2025-04-06 58.251869 101.654879 161.727882 247.084944 361.278556 504.886613 694.992101
2025-04-13 52.859655 96.399849 158.296402 248.059611 370.129202 525.658940 733.800558
2025-04-20 49.915881 94.513935 159.359155 255.005109 386.829496 556.575054 785.740195
2025-04-27 46.822883 92.230080 159.818542 261.258178 402.980878 587.423979 838.618214
2025-05-04 44.181978 90.424100 160.819930 268.221415 420.190651 619.927092 894.145656
2025-05-11 41.545600 88.377179 161.287855 274.337831 436.289373 651.180804 948.491065
2025-05-18 35.898686 80.679842 152.629374 266.705744 432.906275 656.288316 968.559818
2025-05-25 31.702198 75.045483 146.755695 262.792403 434.435554 667.790642 997.001475
2025-06-01 28.855057 71.544688 144.018096 263.375088 442.236095 687.775046 1036.850208
2025-06-08 26.673808 69.058631 142.744274 266.054935 453.007125 711.881909 1082.432753
2025-06-15 25.797680 69.014486 145.495937 275.010061 473.053765 749.020685 1145.994520
2025-06-22 24.344570 67.666218 145.926723 280.259035 487.671208 778.752566 1199.797064
2025-06-29 22.280134 64.836085 143.610980 280.983686 495.486864 798.991221 1240.803908
2025-07-06 20.449791 62.287537 141.608033 282.066802 503.762360 819.893033 1282.861985